My site under "Jim Grindon" "NBA basketball forecast" I handicapped over 1,100 games in 2016/2017 season base on formulas and won. I recently tuned the formulas in preparation for the 2017/2018 season
One that seems to work the best is: Total the points a team gives up over the past 5 games and total up the allowable field goal percentage it gave the opposing team. Then record the score the team allowed on the game following the past 5 record. If you do this 1,000 times with every team and every game you will see an interesting chart that can be converted to a formula.
I do this for every stat you can imagine. What a team allows the opponent to do and the points they give up seems to carry more what than what a team accomplishes and the points the score.
One that seems to work the best is: Total the points a team gives up over the past 5 games and total up the allowable field goal percentage it gave the opposing team. Then record the score the team allowed on the game following the past 5 record. If you do this 1,000 times with every team and every game you will see an interesting chart that can be converted to a formula.
I do this for every stat you can imagine. What a team allows the opponent to do and the points they give up seems to carry more what than what a team accomplishes and the points the score.
